Mail Order Bride Scams: some thoughts
Much is talked about scams in the mail order bride business, international dating, RUssian bride business, whatever we choose to call it.
I have been looking at this subject for some time and want to share some thoughts about the topic of mail order bride agencies and how they and their female clients scam men, particularly American men.
Pareto is the man behind the well known 80/20 rule that suggest that, for example, 80% of profit is derived from 20% of a business’ clients. It applies in most areas where there is a distribution, including from what can be inferred from what we read and see, the MOB industry. Sony TVs . recycled glasses . So, in this case a Pareto girl is one of the top 20% who get almost all the contacts from American men seeking a Russian bride. A shelf girl, on the other hand, is one of many who gets almost no contact at all. We know, again from what we read, see and are told, that there is a long tail of women who are left on the shelf with nary a contact among them.
It is this insight which is very instructive about the nature of the business, as with some very simple calculations, one can start to arrive at an idea of just how busy the top earning girls (or profiles) are and why it is that the busiest can be thought of as being almost certainly NOT what most Americans are seeking. I did some calculations to illustrate this some time ago on RWG. It also illustrates why it is that the top earning profiles are almost certainly not being dealt with by the girls themsleves, there simply is not time to do so.
A Pareto girl is not necessarily a scammer, she may well be seeking a husband, possibly even an American one, but she can be sure as hell picky and of the agency is actually getting many visitors as opposed to guys paying towrite, she is probably too busy with visiting guys to have much in the way of a normal job.
A shelf girl though is different, she gets very few contacts and each one must be jealously guarded and carefully nurtured. The upside for guys, is that she will look after any visitors most carefully and, if genuine about leaving her home country, will be anxious in the extreme not to put a foot wrong, but there is a catch. If she is so motivated and she is so rarely contacted, then it is also very likely that she will do what is necessary to maximise the opportunity, including marrying the wrong guy, simply because he is the ONLY guy. best free android games . She can not afford to be too choosy.
Let us take an example, Hot Russian Brides have told us back in 2005 that the ‘average’ man writes perhaps 20 emails per month, it was their justification for setting their free limit at 30 mails monthly. They have, in their database, about 16,500 women. I do not know how many guys they have, but looking at what they told us about thier costs and what we can see of their monthly charges, I am willing to bet that they had, in 2005, about 2000 paying subscribers and that they were aiming for a lot more. I also think, looking at ther site, that they were aiming at letter writers and not visitors, but that is another matter. At current levels, they say they are not making money, so I reckon that any estimates of volume for a profitable business might be doubled?
Let us also assume that Mr Average is writing to, say, 3 profiles. That means 40,000 mails being sent to 16,500 women. Applying 80/20 we get 3300 women sharing 10,400 emails at the top and 13,200 women sharing 2,600 mails. If each woman receives on average 7 mails that means that only 3% of the bottom slice get any mails in any given month, about 400 women. Those women are gonna fight tooth and claw to get amil from the agency and to keep the contact going. We can start to understand where tales of women giving gifts to office managers come from eh?
But what of the top slice, the lucky 20%. Does pareto apply here as well? It probably does, but assumptions get a touch stretched and, of course this is a continuum, not an entirely seperate group… But go with the numbers for a moment, it might be fun!
So, 3,300 women get 10,400 mails, if pareto is still working hard, then just 660 women are getting 8,320 emails each month, 12 mails a month from two guys, and of course those guys are coming and going, and as yet the business has yet to make money. Imagine the number of introductory mails these girls are getting. How does an agency NOT do something to service those incoming clients eh?
Just remember that Hot Russian Brides and similar sites are simply aggregators, each of these girls may well be on the lists of several aggregators,all fed from her local agency, How is a girl going to manage to deal with the input from, for example, A Foreign Affair, RUssian Love Match, HRB, Anastasia and Confidential connections, let alone the Russian sites like Damochka, Yandex and Mail.ru run.
The numbers I ran before were based upon information provided by Elena’s Models and US immigration statistics and provided an more extreme picture. But we can see that there are at least two groups of women to be aware of in agencies. It is not possible to simply state that the less popular women are going to be a safer bet. For a man with something real to offer, the converse may well be true as long as he can convince one of these delights to actually engage in a genuine correspondence and later relationship with him. The problem is, in reality, getting such a one to actually read the mail sent to her and provoking a reply.
Article source: http://knowhow-now.com/m/articles/view/Mail-Order-Bride-Scams-some-thoughts
11 Responses to “Mail Order Bride Scams: some thoughts”
Alex Beck on May 1, 2011
Would you rather live in a place that had a summer like America or Western Europe or someplace where the hottest day was 70 degrees Fahrenheit ? Russia is cold comrade, I sure as hell would want to leave that behind to live in Maine even. Just because Russian women will leave you if and only if they are far better than you does not mean every warm blooded single(as in no boyfriend) Russian basically wants to leave the cold weather not to mention the sour economy. You shouldn’t give up. God spread us to the winds, just keep in mind that if you are a 2 out of 10 overall don’t try and hit on a 9! (unless of course they look that after the cheap Russian plastic surgery{everything is cheaper in Russia due to price fixing}). They would leave already except theeeeey can’t get greencards without marriage, SO DON’T RISK HALF YOUR MONEY!!! GET A FLIPPIN PRENUP where they get next to nothing!!!!!!!!!!!! Go to Russia get married there theeeeen your bride does not need any money which she can steal if she is a scammer just a plane ticket which you personally buy her after you are married to get back home.
BTW Russia has just as good plastic surgeons so if you need liposuction, a skin tuck, or even a full facial reconstruction Russia is about the cheapest place to get that done and don’t be racist and think Russian Surgeons are worse cause they are just as good as the surgeons from LA or going to be drunk on yadka during the surgery cause they will just be warm on it and still fix you up good or the X-KGB will fix them up good. So basically what it all boils down to is making sure the intelligence level is the same and you are compatible about music and such{ and possibly that you are willing to go under the knife if you are fat old and ugly unlike them}. These Anti-Russian mail order bride websites are the real scam if they don’t even inform you about the windy cold weather which has been the blight of Russia since Napoleon invaded.
Bible Study Software on September 22, 2011
Your article is most uniquely written and very informative. You got my attention by sharing your viewpoints so effectively. I agree with a lot of your content. Great quality article.
Find Links on September 23, 2011
You done a great job of writing this content. I am sure you researched a lot and took the time to write this article properly.
Cheap Logo Design on September 23, 2011
I enjoy reading content with solid information. I like the way this article makes this information so interesting and sensible. I share these views along with the author. Thank you.
Free Internet Marketing on September 29, 2011
Writing like yours inspires me to gain more knowledge on this subject. I appreciate how well you have stated your views within this informational venue.
Search Engine Seo on September 29, 2011
It’s very refreshing to me to stumble on such a fantastic article. Lately, I have found it to be more difficult to uncover even decent articles much less articles of this high quality. Thank you.
Merchant Processing Services on September 29, 2011
It’s not easy finding information on this topic that is well-written, easy to read and easy to grasp. That’s why I felt moved to put a comment here to let you know this is great.
Adventure Travel on September 30, 2011
I appreciate your information in this article. It’s smart, well-written and easy to understand. You have my attention on this subject. I will be back.
Moisturizers on September 30, 2011
It’s very nice to find out other writers share like minds on some content. This is the case with your article. I really enjoyed this.
Advertise on September 30, 2011
There are several valid points here with which I agree. I will have think about some of them, but that’s why I like this article.
Keyword Selection on September 30, 2011
I don’t know how many readers are using this for information gathering, but I know I am. I like your points and agree with many.